Hartberg 0-3 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 31 Mar 2024

Hartberg
0-3 HT 0-2
Rapid Wien
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hartberg vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
14%
17.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.94 — our 22% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.91
1/2
10%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
10%
6.48
X/2
10%
4.55
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.0
2/X
11%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.21/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.89
+5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.5 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hartberg vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 2.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
250 Passes 325
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
13.08.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
12.11.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
26.10.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 5-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
05.02.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-2 HT 1-2 Hartberg Hartberg AUK
24.10.2021 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU

Hartberg 0-3 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
0-3
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.52 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
369 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien cruised past Hartberg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Rapid Wien made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hartberg had 53% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 47%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.52 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartberg and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Rapid Wien?

Hartberg 0-3 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 32%, draw 29%, Rapid Wien 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ BTTS Yes
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