Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Salzburg
AVU
2-1
HT 0-1
Sturm Graz
AVU
0-2
HT 0-0
Salzburg
AVU
1-1
HT 0-1
Sturm Graz
AUK
0-0
HT 0-0
Sturm Graz
AVU
Sturm Graz 0-1 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics
Salzburg edged past Sturm Graz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 47% of the ball to Salzburg's 53%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.33 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for Salzburg.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Sturm Graz 0-1 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 32%, draw 26%, Salzburg 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.