Muharraq 7-2 Bahrain SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.28
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.59
6+ Goals
7%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.63/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.40
-11% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Bahrain SC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
17.01.2024 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
19.04.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
12.01.2023 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
01.12.2022 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
26.11.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
7-2
AWAY Bahrain SC
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Bahrain SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq cruised past Bahrain SC 7-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muharraq had 51% of the ball to Bahrain SC's 49%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Muharraq and 0.80 for Bahrain SC.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Bahrain SC?

Muharraq 7-2 Bahrain SC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Bahrain SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 41%, draw 30%, Bahrain SC 29%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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