Operario PR 1-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Oct 2024

Operario PR
1-1
Paysandu
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Operario PR vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.51
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Operario PR v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.17/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.08
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
259 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.4 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.9

Operario PR vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Paysandu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.98 xG 1.38
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
246 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.06.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
08.06.2023 Operario PR Operario PR 0-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3

Operario PR 1-1 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-1
AWAY Paysandu
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
354 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR and Paysandu shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Operario PR at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Operario PR had 52% of the ball to Paysandu's 48%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Operario PR and 0.50 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Paysandu?

Operario PR 1-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 46%, draw 27%, Paysandu 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Operario PR), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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