Paysandu 1-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.13/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.24
-27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
25.9 Crosses 18.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Operario PR
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26% Ball Possession 74%
2 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 19
5 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2023 Operario PR Operario PR 0-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
1-1
AWAY Operario PR
1.38 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
290 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu and Operario PR shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Paysandu had 54% of the ball to Operario PR's 46%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 1.38 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Operario PR?

Paysandu 1-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 48%, draw 29%, Operario PR 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paysandu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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