Septemvri Sofia 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
61%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
6%
+11.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
61%
Away Win
77%
-16.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.3pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 81%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.38/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.35
+131% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +111%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0-2
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
29% Ball Possession 71%
2 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad beat Septemvri Sofia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 29% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 71%, shots finished 2-16.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Septemvri Sofia 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 17%, draw 22%, Ludogorets Razgrad 61%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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