AC Horsens 2-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.32
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
9%
4.05
X/2
7%
8.16
X/X
10%
5.78
2/1
5%
21.45
2/2
14%
5.99
2/X EV+ ✗
16%
15.75
Value flag · 2/X at 15.75 — our 16% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.9pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.92/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.89
-31% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
26.2 Crosses 19.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Hvidovre
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 1.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
241 Passes 395
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-3 HT 1-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
29.05.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
29.04.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
27.02.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
02.10.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
2-1
AWAY Hvidovre
3.56 xG 0.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
27 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
326 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
47 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens nicked a narrow win over Hvidovre 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AC Horsens had 48% of the ball to Hvidovre's 52%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 3.56 to 0.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AC Horsens's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AC Horsens had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for AC Horsens and 1.00 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Hvidovre?

AC Horsens 2-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 41%, draw 33%, Hvidovre 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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