Hvidovre 3-3 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.14
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.06
X/2
8%
6.19
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
8%
4.16
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
31%
-6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +22%
1.61/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.31
-10% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +102%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
19.9 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
0W-2D-2L
AWAY AC Horsens
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
398 Passes 229
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.05.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
29.04.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
27.02.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
02.10.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
3-3
AWAY AC Horsens
2.96 xG 2.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
384 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre and AC Horsens shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hvidovre at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hvidovre had 57% of the ball to AC Horsens's 43%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.96 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, AC Horsens led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hvidovre and 1.00 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs AC Horsens?

Hvidovre 3-3 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 50%, draw 26%, AC Horsens 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hvidovre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
30 Aug 2024
20:00 Odense vs Vendsyssel FF Analysis →
20:30 Roskilde vs Esbjerg Analysis →
21:00 Hillerod vs Kolding IF Analysis →