Roskilde 1-2 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.36
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
16%
6.87
X/2
9%
5.11
X/X
9%
5.4
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
19%
2.88
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.99/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.19
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.0 Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 2-2 HT 1-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
12.05.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-2 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
28.03.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 4-2 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
30.09.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 3-3 HT 2-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
12.03.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
01.10.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
1-2
AWAY Esbjerg
1.03 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
428 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg edged past Roskilde 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Esbjerg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roskilde had 53% of the ball to Esbjerg's 47%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.03 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Roskilde and 2.50 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Esbjerg?

Roskilde 1-2 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 40%, draw 24%, Esbjerg 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roskilde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
30 Aug 2024
20:00 Odense vs Vendsyssel FF Analysis →
20:30 Hvidovre vs AC Horsens Analysis →
21:00 Hillerod vs Kolding IF Analysis →