Naestved 3-3 Skive IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Skive IK EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
2.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.56
+61% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Skive IK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Skive IK Skive IK 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
03.04.2022 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
07.08.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
27.06.2020 Skive IK Skive IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
20.10.2019 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
27.09.2015 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
3-3
AWAY Skive IK
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Skive IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved and Skive IK couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Naestved at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Naestved had 51% of the ball to Skive IK's 49%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Naestved and 0.50 for Skive IK.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Skive IK?

Naestved 3-3 Skive IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Skive IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Naestved 44%, draw 28%, Skive IK 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naestved) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ BTTS Yes
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