Skive IK 0-1 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.41
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Naestved
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2022 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
07.08.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
27.06.2020 Skive IK Skive IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
20.10.2019 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
27.09.2015 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
0-1
AWAY Naestved
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved squeezed past Skive IK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Skive IK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Skive IK had 59% of the ball to Naestved's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Skive IK and 0.60 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Naestved?

Skive IK 0-1 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 42%, draw 28%, Naestved 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Skive IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skive IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
28 Sep 2024
14:00 Ishoj vs FC Helsingor Analysis →
15:00 Frem vs Thisted Analysis →
15:00 Middelfart vs Nykobing Analysis →