Middelfart 1-0 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
76%
-13.4pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 11%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.81/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/3.68
-22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -44%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Nykobing
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
11.05.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 2-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
21.10.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 2-2 HT 1-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
02.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart squeezed past Nykobing 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Middelfart and 1.00 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Nykobing?

Middelfart 1-0 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 62%, draw 21%, Nykobing 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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