Frem 1-0 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frem EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.55/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.50
-17% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frem
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Thisted
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.11.2022 Thisted Thisted 3-0 HT 2-0 Frem Frem DAN2
03.09.2022 Frem Frem 1-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
02.05.2021 Thisted Thisted 1-1 HT 0-1 Frem Frem DAN2
17.10.2020 Frem Frem 1-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
24.06.2020 Thisted Thisted 3-2 HT 2-1 Frem Frem DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frem
1-0
AWAY Thisted
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Frem vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem edged past Thisted 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Frem as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Frem had 55% of the ball to Thisted's 45%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Frem and 1.80 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Frem vs Thisted?

Frem 1-0 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frem vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frem win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Frem 42%, draw 26%, Thisted 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Frem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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