Asante Kotoko 1-0 Samatex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asante Kotoko EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Samatex EU Bookmakers 27%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.63
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +88%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asante Kotoko
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Samatex
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Asante Kotoko Asante Kotoko 1-0 Samatex GANA
POST-MATCH Asante Kotoko vs Samatex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asante Kotoko squeezed past Samatex 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Asante Kotoko as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Asante Kotoko vs Samatex?

Asante Kotoko 1-0 Samatex in the Gana - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asante Kotoko vs Samatex?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asante Kotoko win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Asante Kotoko 42%, draw 35%, Samatex 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asante Kotoko), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asante Kotoko) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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