Anyang 4-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anyang EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +37%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.37
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.4 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anyang
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Anyang Anyang 0-2 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
13.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-4 HT 0-3 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
03.09.2023 Anyang Anyang 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
24.07.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 1-0 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
07.05.2023 Anyang Anyang 0-3 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.03.2023 Anyang Anyang 1-4 HT 1-3 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anyang
4-1
AWAY Busan I Park
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
323 Passes 429
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anyang vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anyang swept aside Busan I Park 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Anyang found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anyang had 43% of the ball to Busan I Park's 57%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Anyang and 2.50 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Anyang vs Busan I Park?

Anyang 4-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anyang vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Anyang 36%, draw 27%, Busan I Park 37%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Cheonan City vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
08:00 Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa Analysis →