Seongnam 2-3 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.06/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.02
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.0 Crosses 22.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.06.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-4 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
06.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
07.10.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
03.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
12.03.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
27.04.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
2-3
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
435 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa nicked a narrow win over Seongnam 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Seongnam had 56% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 44%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Seongnam and 1.17 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Seongnam 2-3 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 30%, draw 28%, Asan Mugunghwa 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Cheonan City vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
10:30 Anyang vs Busan I Park Analysis →