Marquense 1-2 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 39%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
1.02/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
-15% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 7.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
04.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-1 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC squeezed past Marquense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Xelaju MC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Xelaju MC?

Marquense 1-2 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marquense 37%, draw 31%, Xelaju MC 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
20 Oct 2024
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