Municipal 3-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.99/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.42
+13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mixco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.05.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.05.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 3-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
04.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 0-3 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
24.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-0
AWAY Mixco
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past Mixco 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Municipal had 62% of the ball to Mixco's 38%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal 3-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Municipal 56%, draw 24%, Mixco 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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