Municipal 2-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.85/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.32
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mixco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 3-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
04.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 0-3 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
24.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.08.2023 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 3-1 HT 2-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
2-0
AWAY Mixco
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal beat Mixco 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Municipal had 62% of the ball to Mixco's 38%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal and 1.67 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal 2-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Municipal 61%, draw 22%, Mixco 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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