Kowloon City 2-1 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
42%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
18%
+16.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
42%
Away Win
61%
-19.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kowloon City
2-1
AWAY Southern District RSA
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kowloon City vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City nicked a narrow win over Southern District RSA 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Southern District RSA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kowloon City had 47% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Kowloon City vs Southern District RSA?

Kowloon City 2-1 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kowloon City vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kowloon City 35%, draw 23%, Southern District RSA 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southern District RSA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
20 Oct 2024
13:00 Lee Man vs North District Analysis →