Lee Man 4-1 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.0pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.6pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.10/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/3.14
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
519 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
3W-0D-1L
AWAY North District
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 North District North District 0-4 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.03.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
07.01.2024 North District North District 3-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
21.10.2023 North District North District 1-4 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
4-1
AWAY North District
67% Ball Possession 33%
29 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man swept aside North District 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lee Man had 67% of the ball to North District's 33%, shots finished 29-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Lee Man and 1.00 for North District.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs North District?

Lee Man 4-1 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 65%, draw 19%, North District 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5
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20 Oct 2024
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