Lee Man 4-0 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.98
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
75%
-15.2pp
24%
Draw
15%
+8.6pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.91/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.66
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
515 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
1W-0D-1L
AWAY North District
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 North District North District 3-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
21.10.2023 North District North District 1-4 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
4-0
AWAY North District
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man cruised past North District 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lee Man had 54% of the ball to North District's 46%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lee Man and 2.00 for North District.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs North District?

Lee Man 4-0 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 60%, draw 24%, North District 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
10 Mar 2024
13:00 Eastern vs Southern District RSA Analysis →