Eastern 2-1 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.17/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.14
+3% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
28.01.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONSAP
25.02.2023 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
14.01.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-2 Eastern Eastern HK1
20.11.2021 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
30.04.2021 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
2-1
AWAY Southern District RSA
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern squeezed past Southern District RSA 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Southern District RSA at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastern had 46% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 54%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastern and 1.00 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Southern District RSA?

Eastern 2-1 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastern 34%, draw 25%, Southern District RSA 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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