North District 0-4 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
65%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
7%
+9.4pp
19%
Draw
8%
+10.7pp
65%
Away Win
85%
-20.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
24%
+22.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
76%
-22.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 91%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.47/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/0.59
+138% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
224 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lee Man
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
07.01.2024 North District North District 3-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
21.10.2023 North District North District 1-4 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
0-4
AWAY Lee Man
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH North District vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man cruised past North District 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, North District had 39% of the ball to Lee Man's 61%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for North District and 3.00 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of North District vs Lee Man?

North District 0-4 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split North District 16%, draw 19%, Lee Man 65%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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