Kataller Toyama vs Fukushima United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kataller Toyama v Fukushima United — Team-Based Signals
Kataller Toyama vs Fukushima United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Kataller Toyama
JAP3
1-0
HT 1-0
Fukushima United
JAP3
3-2
HT 3-0
Fukushima United
JAP3
1-1
HT 0-1
Kataller Toyama
JAP3
1-3
HT 0-1
Kataller Toyama
JAP3
Kataller Toyama 1-4 Fukushima United — Actual Match Statistics
Fukushima United ran out comfortable winners over Kataller Toyama 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Kataller Toyama at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Kataller Toyama had 53% of the ball to Fukushima United's 47%, shots finished 22-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kataller Toyama and 0.83 for Fukushima United.
What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Fukushima United?
Kataller Toyama 1-4 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Fukushima United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 49%, draw 24%, Fukushima United 27%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.