Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
26%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.5pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 34%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leopards SC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.01.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 3-1 HT 1-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1-1
AWAY Leopards SC
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks and Leopards SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 51% of the ball to Leopards SC's 49%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards SC?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 37%, draw 35%, Leopards SC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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