Tusker 3-1 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 16%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Talanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.10.2021 Tusker Tusker 1-2 HT 0-1 Talanta KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
3-1
AWAY Talanta
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker saw off Talanta 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tusker had 44% of the ball to Talanta's 56%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Talanta?

Tusker 3-1 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tusker 53%, draw 26%, Talanta 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Ulinzi Stars vs Police Analysis →
00:00 Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards SC Analysis →