La Equidad 0-0 Alianza Petrolera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.50/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.37
-8% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
19.8 Crosses 13.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
301 Passes 230
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-3 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
24.08.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
04.03.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
17.09.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-2 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
24.03.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
26.03.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad and Alianza Petrolera fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was La Equidad at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Equidad and 0.83 for Alianza Petrolera.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?

La Equidad 0-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 50%, draw 30%, Alianza Petrolera 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Equidad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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