Alianza Petrolera 0-3 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.19/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.25
-2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.8 Crosses 16.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-2D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
223 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
04.03.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
17.09.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-2 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
24.03.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
26.03.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
15.02.2020 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0-3
AWAY La Equidad
0.41 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
262 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Petrolera 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 51% of the ball to La Equidad's 49%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.41 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.00 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs La Equidad?

Alianza Petrolera 0-3 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated an La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 26%, draw 30%, La Equidad 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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