Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Millonarios — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Millonarios
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Millonarios
KOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-2
HT 0-2
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 2-3 Millonarios — Actual Match Statistics
Millonarios squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 60% of the ball to Millonarios's 40%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.52 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for Millonarios.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?
Deportivo Pasto 2-3 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?
Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 29%, draw 30%, Millonarios 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.