Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
2-3
HT 2-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin squeezed past Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 65% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 35%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.83 for Atletico Bucaramanga.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 43%, draw 27%, Atletico Bucaramanga 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.