Budapest Vasas 2-1 BVSC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY BVSC EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.96/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.51
+21% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
2W-0D-0L
AWAY BVSC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-0 HT 1-0 BVSC BVSC MAC2
27.09.2023 BVSC BVSC 0-2 HT 0-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
2-1
AWAY BVSC
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs BVSC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas squeezed past BVSC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 52% of the ball to BVSC's 48%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Budapest Vasas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Budapest Vasas and 0.00 for BVSC.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs BVSC?

Budapest Vasas 2-1 BVSC in the Hungary - NB II on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs BVSC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 48%, draw 24%, BVSC 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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