Ajka 1-1 Kazincbarcika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.83/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.47/1.19
-34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kazincbarcika
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
27.08.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
23.04.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
30.10.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
13.12.2020 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.08.2020 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 1-1 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
1-1
AWAY Kazincbarcika
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Kazincbarcika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka and Kazincbarcika couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kazincbarcika at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ajka had 54% of the ball to Kazincbarcika's 46%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazincbarcika led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ajka and 0.83 for Kazincbarcika.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Kazincbarcika?

Ajka 1-1 Kazincbarcika in the Hungary - NB II on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Kazincbarcika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kazincbarcika win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ajka 33%, draw 25%, Kazincbarcika 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kazincbarcika), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kazincbarcika) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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