Melita 2-0 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
191 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
2-0
AWAY Balzan FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melita vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melita saw off Balzan FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Melita found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Melita had 47% of the ball to Balzan FC's 53%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Melita vs Balzan FC?

Melita 2-0 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melita 35%, draw 26%, Balzan FC 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Balzan FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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