Bayelsa United 1-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 20 Oct 2024

Bayelsa United
1-0 HT 0-0
Heartland
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Bayelsa United vs Heartland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.4pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayelsa United v Heartland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.27/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.88
-23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Bayelsa United vs Heartland Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Heartland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
03.04.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ

Bayelsa United 1-0 Heartland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayelsa United
1-0
AWAY Heartland
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United edged past Heartland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Bayelsa United had 58% of the ball to Heartland's 42%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Heartland?

Bayelsa United 1-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 52%, draw 31%, Heartland 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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