Sol De America 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.62
Over
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sol De America The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno The Market 58%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
0.48/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.26
-48% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
25.0 Crosses 26.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sol De America
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.14 xG 2.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
149 Passes 531
59% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 0-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
19.05.2024 Sol De America Sol De America 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.02.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
01.10.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.07.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
15.05.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sol De America
0-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sol De America vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno edged past Sol De America 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sol De America had 51% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 49%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sol De America and 1.33 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sol De America vs Cerro Porteno?

Sol De America 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sol De America vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sol De America 28%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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