Universitario 2-1 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.1pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.1pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
1.74/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.50
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.1 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
2W-1D-2L
AWAY ADT
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.61 xG 1.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
298 Passes 203
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 ADT ADT 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
16.08.2023 ADT ADT 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
19.03.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-1 HT 1-1 ADT ADT PER
21.08.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
05.04.2022 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-1 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
2-1
AWAY ADT
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
206 Passes 291
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Universitario vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario squeezed past ADT 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario had 44% of the ball to ADT's 56%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Universitario and 1.40 for ADT.

What was the final score of Universitario vs ADT?

Universitario 2-1 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Universitario 60%, draw 26%, ADT 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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