Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arka Gdynia v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals
Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Arka Gdynia
POL1
4-1
HT 1-1
Pogon Siedlce
POLK
4-4
HT 2-1
Arka Gdynia
POL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL1
Arka Gdynia 2-1 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics
Arka Gdynia squeezed past Pogon Siedlce 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Arka Gdynia had 50% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 50%, shots finished 10-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.75 for Pogon Siedlce.
What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Siedlce?
Arka Gdynia 2-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Siedlce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 60%, draw 19%, Pogon Siedlce 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.