Olimpia Elblag 1-0 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 20 Oct 2024

Olimpia Elblag
1-0
Kalisz
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Olimpia Elblag vs Kalisz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olimpia Elblag v Kalisz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.06
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Olimpia Elblag vs Kalisz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kalisz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
13.10.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
25.02.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
18.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POLK
31.07.2022 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-2 HT 1-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
20.11.2021 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2

Olimpia Elblag 1-0 Kalisz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1-0
AWAY Kalisz
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag squeezed past Kalisz 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpia Elblag as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Olimpia Elblag had 46% of the ball to Kalisz's 54%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Olimpia Elblag and 0.83 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Kalisz?

Olimpia Elblag 1-0 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Elblag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 44%, draw 26%, Kalisz 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Elblag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Elblag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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