Shinnik 1-3 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Oct 2024

Shinnik
1-3 HT 0-3
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Shinnik vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-3.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shinnik v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
0.92/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.47
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +84%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Shinnik vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.11.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
31.07.2022 Shinnik Shinnik 1-1 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
25.11.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 1-3 HT 1-3 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
16.08.2020 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
23.10.2019 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
11.07.2015 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1

Shinnik 1-3 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-3
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad got the better of Shinnik 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shinnik had 57% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 43%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shinnik and 1.67 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Shinnik 1-3 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 23%, draw 33%, Baltika Kaliningrad 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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