Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.24
+54% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Ufa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.54 xG 1.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
355 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
24.10.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 3-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
13.04.2019 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
29.09.2018 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-1 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-0
AWAY FK Ufa
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk nicked a narrow win over FK Ufa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yenisey Krasnoyarsk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 59% of the ball to FK Ufa's 41%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.25 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs FK Ufa?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 45%, draw 28%, FK Ufa 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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