Rubin Kazan 0-4 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.46
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
8%
9.86
X/2
14%
3.98
X/X
13%
5.41
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.12
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 59%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.07/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.83
-31% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
14.2 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.05 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
325 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.11.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
26.09.2021 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
01.05.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
13.09.2020 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
0-4
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 367
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow swept aside Rubin Kazan 4-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 47% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 53%, shots finished 19-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Dinamo Moscow?

Rubin Kazan 0-4 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 29%, draw 25%, Dinamo Moscow 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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