FK Orenburg 2-2 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

FK Orenburg
2-2
Krylya Sovetov
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.4
1/2 EV+
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.6
X/2
10%
5.95
X/X
16%
5.15
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
12%
3.7
2/X
4%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Orenburg v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.69/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.28
+0% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
26.6 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
284 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.05.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
28.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
02.04.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
16.07.2022 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-4 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
29.11.2020 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS1
22.08.2020 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS1

FK Orenburg 2-2 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
2-2
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
392 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Orenburg and Krylya Sovetov couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was FK Orenburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 59% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 41%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Orenburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Orenburg and 1.33 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov?

FK Orenburg 2-2 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 43%, draw 27%, Krylya Sovetov 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Orenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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