Mladost Lucani 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.47/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.75
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.2 Crosses 19.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
1W-0D-1L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.94
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
300 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
11.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-0
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani squeezed past IMT Novi Beograd 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mladost Lucani found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 35% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 65%, shots finished 4-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.00 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Mladost Lucani 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 35%, draw 26%, IMT Novi Beograd 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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