Mladost Lucani 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 49%
+23% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 2.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 13
257 Passes 453
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 46
4 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-2
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.38 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
342 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd nicked a narrow win over Mladost Lucani 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day IMT Novi Beograd made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 52% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 48%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.38 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Mladost Lucani 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 33%, draw 27%, IMT Novi Beograd 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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