Spartak Subotica 1-0 Javor Ivanjica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.51/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.36
+25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.7 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.92 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 178
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
27.04.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 3-2 HT 1-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
12.02.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
14.08.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-2 HT 2-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
29.04.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-2 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
20.11.2020 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 1-3 HT 1-3 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-0
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
0.64 xG 0.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
373 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Javor Ivanjica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica squeezed past Javor Ivanjica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Subotica as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 54% of the ball to Javor Ivanjica's 46%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.64 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Javor Ivanjica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.67 for Javor Ivanjica.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Javor Ivanjica?

Spartak Subotica 1-0 Javor Ivanjica in the Serbia - Super League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Javor Ivanjica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 46%, draw 24%, Javor Ivanjica 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Subotica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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