Novi Pazar 2-2 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.3pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.15/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.32
-12% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.9 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
236 Passes 325
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.02.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
12.08.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-3 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
25.02.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.09.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
17.02.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-2
AWAY Radnicki Nis
2.23 xG 1.88
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
422 Passes 193
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Radnicki Nis shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 66% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 34%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.23 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.67 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis?

Novi Pazar 2-2 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 49%, draw 24%, Radnicki Nis 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
15 Apr 2024
19:00 Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →
19:00 Spartak Subotica vs Javor Ivanjica Analysis →
21:00 Vozdovac vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Analysis →