Al Fateh 1-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.63/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.98
+37% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.5 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-1
AWAY Al Kholood
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
430 Passes 295
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh and Al Kholood couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Fateh had 58% of the ball to Al Kholood's 42%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Kholood?

Al Fateh 1-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 34%, draw 27%, Al Kholood 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Kholood), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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