Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Oct 2024

Al Akhdoud
0-1
Al Riyadh
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Akhdoud v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.50
+32% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.9 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
288 Passes 301
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
08.02.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
07.09.2022 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1

Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
0-1
AWAY Al Riyadh
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
437 Passes 222
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh edged past Al Akhdoud 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Akhdoud at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 63% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 37%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh?

Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 45%, draw 28%, Al Riyadh 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Akhdoud) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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