Lexington vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Charlotte Independence
USL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lexington
USL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
Lexington 2-2 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington and Charlotte Independence couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Lexington at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lexington had 64% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 36%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.58 to 2.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lexington and 1.75 for Charlotte Independence.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Charlotte Independence?
Lexington 2-2 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Charlotte Independence?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lexington 42%, draw 26%, Charlotte Independence 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington), Under 2.5 went the other way.